Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,344 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 1,344 drawings accumulates 1,254 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 1,254 1,254 10 0.80% $313.5 $412.5 $99 31.6% $-144.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 3.5 1,254 4,415 26 0.59% $1,103.75 $1,050 $-53.75 -4.9% $-338
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 954 954 9 0.94% $238.5 $337.5 $99 41.5% $-93
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 1,209 1,696 11 0.65% $424 $412.5 $-11.5 -2.7% $-121.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.9 1,209 2,299 14 0.61% $574.75 $525 $-49.75 -8.7% $-171.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 9.1 1,254 11,388 72 0.63% $2,847 $2,812.5 $-34.5 -1.2% $-288.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 658 658 4 0.61% $164.5 $300 $135.5 82.4% $-132
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 794 794 8 1.01% $198.5 $637.5 $439 221.2% $-100.75
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 1,254 1,254 8 0.64% $313.5 $337.5 $24 7.7% $-107.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 1,254 1,254 9 0.72% $313.5 $450 $136.5 43.5% $-99
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 3.0 1,254 3,762 11 0.29% $940.5 $600 $-340.5 -36.2% $-355.5
Cici's Rules Engine 8.0 1,254 10,032 46 0.46% $2,508 $2,550 $42 1.7% $-358.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 8.0 1,254 10,032 49 0.49% $2,508 $2,512.5 $4.5 0.2% $-330.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 8.0 1,254 10,032 38 0.38% $2,508 $1,762.5 $-745.5 -29.7% $-745.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 8.0 1,254 10,032 49 0.49% $2,508 $2,512.5 $4.5 0.2% $-330.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 5.0 1,254 6,270 30 0.48% $1,567.5 $1,612.5 $45 2.9% $-193.75
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 1,242 1,242 5 0.40% $310.5 $225 $-85.5 -27.5% $-100.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 8.0 1,254 10,032 55 0.55% $2,508 $2,737.5 $229.5 9.2% $-289.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 1,254 1,254 3 0.24% $313.5 $187.5 $-126 -40.2% $-126
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 1,254 1,254 7 0.56% $313.5 $337.5 $24 7.7% $-86.25
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 1,344 1,254 0 0.00% $313.5 $0 $-313.5 -100.0% $-313.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.9 1,344 1,254 0 0.00% $313.5 $0 $-313.5 -100.0% $-313.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 1,344 1,254 0 0.00% $313.5 $0 $-313.5 -100.0% $-313.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 1,344 1,254 0 0.00% $313.5 $0 $-313.5 -100.0% $-313.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 1,344 1,254 0 0.00% $313.5 $0 $-313.5 -100.0% $-313.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 1,344 1,254 0 0.00% $313.5 $0 $-313.5 -100.0% $-313.5
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 3.5 1,254 4,405 20 0.45% $1,101.25 $787.5 $-313.75 -28.5% $-419.25
Hot Families (top 10) 10.0 1,254 12,540 77 0.61% $3,135 $3,075 $-60 -1.9% $-395
Hot doubles (top 18) 18.0 1,254 22,572 65 0.29% $5,643 $4,875 $-768 -13.6% $-960
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 10.0 1,254 12,540 6 0.05% $3,135 $1,350 $-1,785 -56.9% $-1,935
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 10.0 1,209 12,090 59 0.49% $3,022.5 $2,287.5 $-735 -24.3% $-900
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 18.0 1,254 22,572 101 0.45% $5,643 $5,400 $-243 -4.3% $-960
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 10.0 1,254 12,540 49 0.39% $3,135 $3,112.5 $-22.5 -0.7% $-737.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 10.0 1,254 12,540 53 0.42% $3,135 $3,187.5 $52.5 1.7% $-687.5
Calendar Year Top-5 5.0 1,254 6,270 39 0.62% $1,567.5 $1,462.5 $-105 -6.7% $-250
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 120.0 1,254 150,480 926 0.62% $37,620 $34,725 $-2,895 -7.7% $-33,000
Window summary. 13 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold (+221.2% ROI, net +$439.00)
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold +$439.00 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$229.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$136.50

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 +$124 +$145 +$439 0/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$59 +$48 -$22 +$141 +$51 +$221 +$230 8/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 +$58 +$110 +$65 +$161 +$107 +$137 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$102 +$32 +$136 0/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 +$58 +$72 +$27 -$27 -$43 +$99 3/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 +$49 +$32 +$99 0/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$20 -$63 -$178 -$105 -$453 -$578 +$53 3/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$65 +$63 -$51 -$128 -$20 +$86 +$45 4/12
Cici's Rules Engine +$59 -$28 -$210 -$197 -$25 +$71 +$42 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$2 -$18 -$40 +$27 +$124 +$70 +$24 3/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$48 +$11 -$5 +$24 1/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$59 -$28 -$210 +$104 +$126 +$108 +$5 5/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$59 -$28 -$210 +$104 +$126 +$108 +$5 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$3 +$13 +$19 +$31 +$92 +$2 -$12 4/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$20 -$100 +$85 +$8 -$265 -$653 -$23 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$18 -$47 +$47 +$48 +$9 -$107 -$35 7/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 +$4 -$2 -$13 +$40 -$22 -$50 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$31 +$164 +$158 +$261 +$128 -$44 -$54 9/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$20 +$13 -$28 +$158 -$115 -$128 -$60 5/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$64 -$43 -$86 0/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$10 -$88 -$126 -$90 -$133 -$139 -$105 2/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$64 -$80 -$126 0/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$36 -$128 -$275 -$152 -$552 -$770 -$243 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$268 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$268 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$268 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$268 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$268 -$314 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$177 -$268 -$314 0/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$7 +$14 +$46 +$38 -$94 -$227 -$314 8/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$6 -$53 -$121 -$182 -$230 -$278 -$341 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$20 -$25 -$178 -$255 -$378 -$615 -$735 3/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$16 -$103 -$285 -$234 -$137 -$567 -$746 2/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$36 -$90 -$200 -$189 -$477 -$920 -$768 6/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$20 -$175 -$178 -$180 -$865 -$1,553 -$1,785 3/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes +$23 -$75 -$443 -$5,535 -$16,455 -$27,405 -$2,895 3/12