Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,344 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,254 | 1,254 | 10 | 0.80% | $313.5 | $412.5 | $99 | 31.6% | $-144.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.5 | 1,254 | 4,415 | 26 | 0.59% | $1,103.75 | $1,050 | $-53.75 | -4.9% | $-338 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 954 | 954 | 9 | 0.94% | $238.5 | $337.5 | $99 | 41.5% | $-93 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,209 | 1,696 | 11 | 0.65% | $424 | $412.5 | $-11.5 | -2.7% | $-121.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 1,209 | 2,299 | 14 | 0.61% | $574.75 | $525 | $-49.75 | -8.7% | $-171.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.1 | 1,254 | 11,388 | 72 | 0.63% | $2,847 | $2,812.5 | $-34.5 | -1.2% | $-288.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 658 | 658 | 4 | 0.61% | $164.5 | $300 | $135.5 | 82.4% | $-132 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 794 | 794 | 8 | 1.01% | $198.5 | $637.5 | $439 | 221.2% | $-100.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,254 | 1,254 | 8 | 0.64% | $313.5 | $337.5 | $24 | 7.7% | $-107.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,254 | 1,254 | 9 | 0.72% | $313.5 | $450 | $136.5 | 43.5% | $-99 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 3.0 | 1,254 | 3,762 | 11 | 0.29% | $940.5 | $600 | $-340.5 | -36.2% | $-355.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,254 | 10,032 | 46 | 0.46% | $2,508 | $2,550 | $42 | 1.7% | $-358.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 8.0 | 1,254 | 10,032 | 49 | 0.49% | $2,508 | $2,512.5 | $4.5 | 0.2% | $-330.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,254 | 10,032 | 38 | 0.38% | $2,508 | $1,762.5 | $-745.5 | -29.7% | $-745.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,254 | 10,032 | 49 | 0.49% | $2,508 | $2,512.5 | $4.5 | 0.2% | $-330.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 1,254 | 6,270 | 30 | 0.48% | $1,567.5 | $1,612.5 | $45 | 2.9% | $-193.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,242 | 1,242 | 5 | 0.40% | $310.5 | $225 | $-85.5 | -27.5% | $-100.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 1,254 | 10,032 | 55 | 0.55% | $2,508 | $2,737.5 | $229.5 | 9.2% | $-289.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,254 | 1,254 | 3 | 0.24% | $313.5 | $187.5 | $-126 | -40.2% | $-126 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,254 | 1,254 | 7 | 0.56% | $313.5 | $337.5 | $24 | 7.7% | $-86.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,344 | 1,254 | 0 | 0.00% | $313.5 | $0 | $-313.5 | -100.0% | $-313.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 1,344 | 1,254 | 0 | 0.00% | $313.5 | $0 | $-313.5 | -100.0% | $-313.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,344 | 1,254 | 0 | 0.00% | $313.5 | $0 | $-313.5 | -100.0% | $-313.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,344 | 1,254 | 0 | 0.00% | $313.5 | $0 | $-313.5 | -100.0% | $-313.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,344 | 1,254 | 0 | 0.00% | $313.5 | $0 | $-313.5 | -100.0% | $-313.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,344 | 1,254 | 0 | 0.00% | $313.5 | $0 | $-313.5 | -100.0% | $-313.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.5 | 1,254 | 4,405 | 20 | 0.45% | $1,101.25 | $787.5 | $-313.75 | -28.5% | $-419.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,254 | 12,540 | 77 | 0.61% | $3,135 | $3,075 | $-60 | -1.9% | $-395 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,254 | 22,572 | 65 | 0.29% | $5,643 | $4,875 | $-768 | -13.6% | $-960 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 1,254 | 12,540 | 6 | 0.05% | $3,135 | $1,350 | $-1,785 | -56.9% | $-1,935 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,209 | 12,090 | 59 | 0.49% | $3,022.5 | $2,287.5 | $-735 | -24.3% | $-900 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,254 | 22,572 | 101 | 0.45% | $5,643 | $5,400 | $-243 | -4.3% | $-960 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 1,254 | 12,540 | 49 | 0.39% | $3,135 | $3,112.5 | $-22.5 | -0.7% | $-737.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 1,254 | 12,540 | 53 | 0.42% | $3,135 | $3,187.5 | $52.5 | 1.7% | $-687.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,254 | 6,270 | 39 | 0.62% | $1,567.5 | $1,462.5 | $-105 | -6.7% | $-250 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,254 | 150,480 | 926 | 0.62% | $37,620 | $34,725 | $-2,895 | -7.7% | $-33,000 |
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold +$439.00 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$229.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$136.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | +$124 | +$145 | +$439 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$59 | +$48 | -$22 | +$141 | +$51 | +$221 | +$230 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | +$58 | +$110 | +$65 | +$161 | +$107 | +$137 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$102 | +$32 | +$136 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | +$58 | +$72 | +$27 | -$27 | -$43 | +$99 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | +$49 | +$32 | +$99 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$20 | -$63 | -$178 | -$105 | -$453 | -$578 | +$53 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | +$65 | +$63 | -$51 | -$128 | -$20 | +$86 | +$45 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | +$59 | -$28 | -$210 | -$197 | -$25 | +$71 | +$42 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | +$27 | +$124 | +$70 | +$24 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$48 | +$11 | -$5 | +$24 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | +$59 | -$28 | -$210 | +$104 | +$126 | +$108 | +$5 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | +$59 | -$28 | -$210 | +$104 | +$126 | +$108 | +$5 | 5/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | +$13 | +$19 | +$31 | +$92 | +$2 | -$12 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | -$100 | +$85 | +$8 | -$265 | -$653 | -$23 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$18 | -$47 | +$47 | +$48 | +$9 | -$107 | -$35 | 7/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | +$4 | -$2 | -$13 | +$40 | -$22 | -$50 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | +$31 | +$164 | +$158 | +$261 | +$128 | -$44 | -$54 | 9/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$20 | +$13 | -$28 | +$158 | -$115 | -$128 | -$60 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$64 | -$43 | -$86 | 0/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$10 | -$88 | -$126 | -$90 | -$133 | -$139 | -$105 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$64 | -$80 | -$126 | 0/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$36 | -$128 | -$275 | -$152 | -$552 | -$770 | -$243 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$7 | +$14 | +$46 | +$38 | -$94 | -$227 | -$314 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$6 | -$53 | -$121 | -$182 | -$230 | -$278 | -$341 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$20 | -$25 | -$178 | -$255 | -$378 | -$615 | -$735 | 3/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$16 | -$103 | -$285 | -$234 | -$137 | -$567 | -$746 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$36 | -$90 | -$200 | -$189 | -$477 | -$920 | -$768 | 6/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$20 | -$175 | -$178 | -$180 | -$865 | -$1,553 | -$1,785 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | +$23 | -$75 | -$443 | -$5,535 | -$16,455 | -$27,405 | -$2,895 | 3/12 |