Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 183 archive drawings (2026-03-14 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ⚡ High-Frequency Recent Form: 6 Months [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 3 | 1.82% | $41.25 | $112.5 | $71.25 | 172.7% | $-10.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.2 | 183 | 581 | 3 | 0.52% | $145.25 | $112.5 | $-32.75 | -22.6% | $-80.25 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 1 | 0.61% | $41.25 | $37.5 | $-3.75 | -9.1% | $-33.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 183 | 230 | 0 | 0.00% | $57.5 | $0 | $-57.5 | -100.0% | $-57.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.7 | 183 | 314 | 0 | 0.00% | $78.5 | $0 | $-78.5 | -100.0% | $-78.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.2 | 183 | 1,499 | 7 | 0.47% | $374.75 | $262.5 | $-112.25 | -29.9% | $-112.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 1 | 0.61% | $41.25 | $75 | $33.75 | 81.8% | $-30.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.7 | 183 | 495 | 2 | 0.40% | $123.75 | $112.5 | $-11.25 | -9.1% | $-63.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.2 | 183 | 1,320 | 10 | 0.76% | $330 | $525 | $195 | 59.1% | $-48.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.2 | 183 | 1,320 | 9 | 0.68% | $330 | $450 | $120 | 36.4% | $-86 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.2 | 183 | 1,320 | 7 | 0.53% | $330 | $300 | $-30 | -9.1% | $-84.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.2 | 183 | 1,320 | 9 | 0.68% | $330 | $450 | $120 | 36.4% | $-86 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.5 | 183 | 825 | 5 | 0.61% | $206.25 | $225 | $18.75 | 9.1% | $-76.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 1 | 0.61% | $41.25 | $37.5 | $-3.75 | -9.1% | $-33.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.2 | 183 | 1,320 | 8 | 0.61% | $330 | $375 | $45 | 13.6% | $-60 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 2 | 1.21% | $41.25 | $75 | $33.75 | 81.8% | $-23 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.2 | 183 | 579 | 6 | 1.04% | $144.75 | $225 | $80.25 | 55.4% | $-65 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.0 | 183 | 1,650 | 6 | 0.36% | $412.5 | $225 | $-187.5 | -45.5% | $-232.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.2 | 183 | 2,970 | 9 | 0.30% | $742.5 | $675 | $-67.5 | -9.1% | $-135 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.0 | 183 | 1,650 | 2 | 0.12% | $412.5 | $450 | $37.5 | 9.1% | $-152.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.0 | 183 | 1,650 | 10 | 0.61% | $412.5 | $450 | $37.5 | 9.1% | $-45 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.2 | 183 | 2,970 | 9 | 0.30% | $742.5 | $450 | $-292.5 | -39.4% | $-313.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.0 | 183 | 1,650 | 7 | 0.42% | $412.5 | $450 | $37.5 | 9.1% | $-190 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.0 | 183 | 1,650 | 4 | 0.24% | $412.5 | $225 | $-187.5 | -45.5% | $-187.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.5 | 183 | 825 | 5 | 0.61% | $206.25 | $187.5 | $-18.75 | -9.1% | $-56.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 108.2 | 183 | 19,800 | 113 | 0.57% | $4,950 | $4,237.5 | $-712.5 | -14.4% | $-750 |
Top Net Dollars: Cici's Rules Engine +$195.00 · Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$120.00 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$120.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$19 | +$71 | +$64 | +$160 | +$219 | +$212 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | +$64 | +$48 | +$106 | +$212 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$27 | -$93 | -$112 | -$148 | +$75 | +$109 | +$152 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$28 | +$31 | +$139 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$24 | +$77 | +$120 | +$58 | -$33 | +$213 | +$117 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$24 | +$77 | +$120 | +$58 | -$33 | +$213 | +$117 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$49 | -$103 | -$6 | +$99 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$24 | +$115 | +$195 | +$133 | +$268 | +$138 | +$80 | 6/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$30 | +$40 | +$38 | +$35 | -$200 | -$213 | +$15 | 4/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$11 | -$65 | +$80 | +$184 | +$277 | +$145 | -$8 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$12 | -$103 | +$31 | -$11 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$19 | +$34 | +$101 | +$48 | +$31 | -$14 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$28 | -$44 | -$14 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$9 | -$56 | -$11 | +$3 | -$45 | -$94 | -$41 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$140 | -$231 | -$84 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$49 | -$65 | -$119 | -$89 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$15 | -$18 | -$19 | +$55 | -$213 | -$144 | -$105 | 4/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$15 | +$58 | +$19 | -$95 | -$25 | -$181 | -$180 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$45 | +$40 | +$38 | +$73 | -$313 | -$175 | -$210 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$26 | -$58 | -$83 | -$172 | -$262 | -$271 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$24 | +$77 | +$45 | -$55 | -$145 | -$313 | -$296 | 4/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$6 | -$35 | -$79 | -$90 | -$188 | -$324 | -$349 | 1/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$45 | -$73 | -$188 | -$228 | -$313 | -$400 | -$360 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | +$27 | +$48 | -$33 | -$42 | -$101 | -$272 | -$390 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$30 | -$73 | -$188 | -$340 | -$350 | -$438 | -$585 | 1/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$24 | +$2 | -$30 | -$280 | -$708 | -$688 | -$896 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$54 | -$33 | -$68 | -$57 | -$570 | -$413 | -$918 | 7/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$21 | -$71 | -$293 | -$395 | -$683 | -$938 | -$1,181 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$120 | +$228 | +$38 | -$115 | -$688 | -$1,113 | -$1,185 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$248 | -$608 | -$713 | -$5,730 | -$16,650 | -$27,600 | -$2,745 | 1/12 |