Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,094 archive drawings (2023-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 13 | 1.21% | $268.75 | $487.5 | $218.75 | 81.4% | $-61 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.5 | 1,094 | 3,788 | 18 | 0.48% | $947 | $675 | $-272 | -28.7% | $-319.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 4 | 0.37% | $268.75 | $150 | $-118.75 | -44.2% | $-118.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,094 | 1,498 | 3 | 0.20% | $374.5 | $112.5 | $-262 | -70.0% | $-262 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 1,094 | 2,044 | 5 | 0.24% | $511 | $187.5 | $-323.5 | -63.3% | $-323.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.9 | 1,094 | 9,764 | 66 | 0.68% | $2,441 | $2,550 | $109 | 4.5% | $-241.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 1 | 0.09% | $268.75 | $37.5 | $-231.25 | -86.1% | $-231.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 5 | 0.47% | $268.75 | $300 | $31.25 | 11.6% | $-94.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 6 | 0.56% | $268.75 | $262.5 | $-6.25 | -2.3% | $-133 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 8 | 0.74% | $268.75 | $375 | $106.25 | 39.5% | $-53.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 1,094 | 3,225 | 15 | 0.47% | $806.25 | $712.5 | $-93.75 | -11.6% | $-215.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.9 | 1,094 | 8,600 | 43 | 0.50% | $2,150 | $2,287.5 | $137.5 | 6.4% | $-315.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.9 | 1,094 | 8,600 | 48 | 0.56% | $2,150 | $2,362.5 | $212.5 | 9.9% | $-291 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.9 | 1,094 | 8,600 | 33 | 0.38% | $2,150 | $1,462.5 | $-687.5 | -32.0% | $-865.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.9 | 1,094 | 8,600 | 48 | 0.56% | $2,150 | $2,362.5 | $212.5 | 9.9% | $-291 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 1,094 | 5,375 | 21 | 0.39% | $1,343.75 | $1,162.5 | $-181.25 | -13.5% | $-386.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 6 | 0.56% | $268.75 | $300 | $31.25 | 11.6% | $-121.25 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.9 | 1,094 | 8,600 | 37 | 0.43% | $2,150 | $1,837.5 | $-312.5 | -14.5% | $-483 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 6 | 0.56% | $268.75 | $300 | $31.25 | 11.6% | $-159.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 4 | 0.37% | $268.75 | $225 | $-43.75 | -16.3% | $-140 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 0 | 0.00% | $268.75 | $0 | $-268.75 | -100.0% | $-268.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 0 | 0.00% | $268.75 | $0 | $-268.75 | -100.0% | $-268.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 0 | 0.00% | $268.75 | $0 | $-268.75 | -100.0% | $-268.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 0 | 0.00% | $268.75 | $0 | $-268.75 | -100.0% | $-268.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 0 | 0.00% | $268.75 | $0 | $-268.75 | -100.0% | $-268.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,094 | 1,075 | 0 | 0.00% | $268.75 | $0 | $-268.75 | -100.0% | $-268.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.4 | 1,094 | 3,772 | 27 | 0.72% | $943 | $1,087.5 | $144.5 | 15.3% | $-195 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,094 | 10,750 | 59 | 0.55% | $2,687.5 | $2,287.5 | $-400 | -14.9% | $-555 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.7 | 1,094 | 19,350 | 59 | 0.30% | $4,837.5 | $4,425 | $-412.5 | -8.5% | $-861 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.8 | 1,094 | 10,750 | 11 | 0.10% | $2,687.5 | $2,475 | $-212.5 | -7.9% | $-692.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,094 | 10,750 | 63 | 0.59% | $2,687.5 | $2,512.5 | $-175 | -6.5% | $-472.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.7 | 1,094 | 19,350 | 75 | 0.39% | $4,837.5 | $3,900 | $-937.5 | -19.4% | $-1,092 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.8 | 1,094 | 10,750 | 26 | 0.24% | $2,687.5 | $1,575 | $-1,112.5 | -41.4% | $-1,340 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.8 | 1,094 | 10,750 | 41 | 0.38% | $2,687.5 | $2,250 | $-437.5 | -16.3% | $-545 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 1,094 | 5,375 | 32 | 0.60% | $1,343.75 | $1,200 | $-143.75 | -10.7% | $-385 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 117.9 | 1,094 | 129,000 | 124 | 0.10% | $32,250 | $4,650 | $-27,600 | -85.6% | $-27,600 |
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$218.75 · Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$212.50 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$212.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$19 | +$71 | +$64 | +$160 | +$219 | +$212 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$57 | +$34 | +$64 | +$48 | +$106 | +$212 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$27 | -$93 | -$112 | -$148 | +$75 | +$109 | +$152 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$28 | +$31 | +$139 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$24 | +$77 | +$120 | +$58 | -$33 | +$213 | +$117 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$24 | +$77 | +$120 | +$58 | -$33 | +$213 | +$117 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$49 | -$103 | -$6 | +$99 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$24 | +$115 | +$195 | +$133 | +$268 | +$138 | +$80 | 6/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$30 | +$40 | +$38 | +$35 | -$200 | -$213 | +$15 | 4/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$11 | -$65 | +$80 | +$184 | +$277 | +$145 | -$8 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$12 | -$103 | +$31 | -$11 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | +$19 | +$34 | +$101 | +$48 | +$31 | -$14 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$28 | -$44 | -$14 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$9 | -$56 | -$11 | +$3 | -$45 | -$94 | -$41 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$140 | -$231 | -$84 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$19 | -$4 | -$49 | -$65 | -$119 | -$89 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$15 | -$18 | -$19 | +$55 | -$213 | -$144 | -$105 | 4/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$15 | +$58 | +$19 | -$95 | -$25 | -$181 | -$180 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$45 | +$40 | +$38 | +$73 | -$313 | -$175 | -$210 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$26 | -$58 | -$83 | -$172 | -$262 | -$271 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$24 | +$77 | +$45 | -$55 | -$145 | -$313 | -$296 | 4/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$19 | -$41 | -$87 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$6 | -$35 | -$79 | -$90 | -$188 | -$324 | -$349 | 1/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$45 | -$73 | -$188 | -$228 | -$313 | -$400 | -$360 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | +$27 | +$48 | -$33 | -$42 | -$101 | -$272 | -$390 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$30 | -$73 | -$188 | -$340 | -$350 | -$438 | -$585 | 1/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$24 | +$2 | -$30 | -$280 | -$708 | -$688 | -$896 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$54 | -$33 | -$68 | -$57 | -$570 | -$413 | -$918 | 7/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$21 | -$71 | -$293 | -$395 | -$683 | -$938 | -$1,181 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$120 | +$228 | +$38 | -$115 | -$688 | -$1,113 | -$1,185 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$248 | -$608 | -$713 | -$5,730 | -$16,650 | -$27,600 | -$2,745 | 1/12 |