Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 729 archive drawings (2024-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 729 drawings accumulates 710 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 729 710 9 1.27% $177.5 $337.5 $160 90.1% $-61
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 3.4 729 2,502 14 0.56% $625.5 $525 $-100.5 -16.1% $-180.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 729 710 3 0.42% $177.5 $112.5 $-65 -36.6% $-102.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 729 989 2 0.20% $247.25 $75 $-172.25 -69.7% $-188.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.9 729 1,350 4 0.30% $337.5 $150 $-187.5 -55.6% $-233.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.8 729 6,449 44 0.68% $1,612.25 $1,687.5 $75.25 4.7% $-241.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 729 710 1 0.14% $177.5 $37.5 $-140 -78.9% $-140
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 729 710 3 0.42% $177.5 $150 $-27.5 -15.5% $-94.75
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 729 710 2 0.28% $177.5 $75 $-102.5 -57.8% $-102.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 729 710 5 0.70% $177.5 $225 $47.5 26.8% $-53.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 729 2,130 10 0.47% $532.5 $487.5 $-45 -8.5% $-121.5
Cici's Rules Engine 7.8 729 5,680 32 0.56% $1,420 $1,687.5 $267.5 18.8% $-315.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.8 729 5,680 28 0.49% $1,420 $1,387.5 $-32.5 -2.3% $-291
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.8 729 5,680 17 0.30% $1,420 $712.5 $-707.5 -49.8% $-709.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.8 729 5,680 28 0.49% $1,420 $1,387.5 $-32.5 -2.3% $-291
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 729 3,550 17 0.48% $887.5 $862.5 $-25 -2.8% $-268.75
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 729 710 2 0.28% $177.5 $75 $-102.5 -57.8% $-113.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.8 729 5,680 26 0.46% $1,420 $1,275 $-145 -10.2% $-297
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 729 710 5 0.70% $177.5 $225 $47.5 26.8% $-75.75
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 729 710 3 0.42% $177.5 $150 $-27.5 -15.5% $-140
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 729 710 0 0.00% $177.5 $0 $-177.5 -100.0% $-177.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 1.0 729 710 0 0.00% $177.5 $0 $-177.5 -100.0% $-177.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 729 710 0 0.00% $177.5 $0 $-177.5 -100.0% $-177.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 729 710 0 0.00% $177.5 $0 $-177.5 -100.0% $-177.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 729 710 0 0.00% $177.5 $0 $-177.5 -100.0% $-177.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 729 710 0 0.00% $177.5 $0 $-177.5 -100.0% $-177.5
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 3.4 729 2,491 22 0.88% $622.75 $900 $277.25 44.5% $-83.75
Hot Families (top 10) 9.7 729 7,100 39 0.55% $1,775 $1,462.5 $-312.5 -17.6% $-457.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.5 729 12,780 35 0.27% $3,195 $2,625 $-570 -17.8% $-723
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.7 729 7,100 7 0.10% $1,775 $1,575 $-200 -11.3% $-387.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.7 729 7,100 37 0.52% $1,775 $1,462.5 $-312.5 -17.6% $-427.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.5 729 12,780 51 0.40% $3,195 $2,512.5 $-682.5 -21.4% $-864
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.7 729 7,100 19 0.27% $1,775 $1,087.5 $-687.5 -38.7% $-987.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.7 729 7,100 25 0.35% $1,775 $1,425 $-350 -19.7% $-460
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 729 3,550 18 0.51% $887.5 $675 $-212.5 -23.9% $-306.25
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 116.9 729 85,200 124 0.15% $21,300 $4,650 $-16,650 -78.2% $-16,650
Window summary. 6 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+90.1% ROI, net +$160.00)
Top Net Dollars: Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$277.25 · Cici's Rules Engine +$267.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$160.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 +$19 +$71 +$64 +$160 +$219 +$212 4/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 +$57 +$34 +$64 +$48 +$106 +$212 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$27 -$93 -$112 -$148 +$75 +$109 +$152 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$28 +$31 +$139 0/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$24 +$77 +$120 +$58 -$33 +$213 +$117 6/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$24 +$77 +$120 +$58 -$33 +$213 +$117 6/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$49 -$103 -$6 +$99 1/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$24 +$115 +$195 +$133 +$268 +$138 +$80 6/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$30 +$40 +$38 +$35 -$200 -$213 +$15 4/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$11 -$65 +$80 +$184 +$277 +$145 -$8 6/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 -$19 -$4 -$12 -$103 +$31 -$11 2/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 +$19 +$34 +$101 +$48 +$31 -$14 3/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$28 -$44 -$14 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$9 -$56 -$11 +$3 -$45 -$94 -$41 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$140 -$231 -$84 0/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$19 -$4 -$49 -$65 -$119 -$89 1/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$15 -$18 -$19 +$55 -$213 -$144 -$105 4/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$15 +$58 +$19 -$95 -$25 -$181 -$180 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$45 +$40 +$38 +$73 -$313 -$175 -$210 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$26 -$58 -$83 -$172 -$262 -$271 1/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$24 +$77 +$45 -$55 -$145 -$313 -$296 4/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$3 -$19 -$41 -$87 -$178 -$269 -$315 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$6 -$35 -$79 -$90 -$188 -$324 -$349 1/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$45 -$73 -$188 -$228 -$313 -$400 -$360 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$27 +$48 -$33 -$42 -$101 -$272 -$390 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$30 -$73 -$188 -$340 -$350 -$438 -$585 1/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$24 +$2 -$30 -$280 -$708 -$688 -$896 3/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$54 -$33 -$68 -$57 -$570 -$413 -$918 7/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$21 -$71 -$293 -$395 -$683 -$938 -$1,181 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$120 +$228 +$38 -$115 -$688 -$1,113 -$1,185 3/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$248 -$608 -$713 -$5,730 -$16,650 -$27,600 -$2,745 1/12