Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 361 archive drawings (2025-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 3 | 0.88% | $85.5 | $112.5 | $27 | 31.6% | $-45.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.3 | 361 | 1,205 | 14 | 1.16% | $301.25 | $562.5 | $261.25 | 86.7% | $-57.25 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.3 | 361 | 476 | 4 | 0.84% | $119 | $150 | $31 | 26.1% | $-52.25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 361 | 650 | 4 | 0.62% | $162.5 | $150 | $-12.5 | -7.7% | $-77.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.6 | 361 | 3,107 | 22 | 0.71% | $776.75 | $825 | $48.25 | 6.2% | $-77.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 3 | 0.88% | $85.5 | $112.5 | $27 | 31.6% | $-55 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 3 | 0.88% | $85.5 | $150 | $64.5 | 75.4% | $-52.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 361 | 1,026 | 1 | 0.10% | $256.5 | $75 | $-181.5 | -70.8% | $-188.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.6 | 361 | 2,736 | 8 | 0.29% | $684 | $487.5 | $-196.5 | -28.7% | $-358.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.6 | 361 | 2,736 | 15 | 0.55% | $684 | $787.5 | $103.5 | 15.1% | $-330.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.6 | 361 | 2,736 | 10 | 0.37% | $684 | $450 | $-234 | -34.2% | $-327.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.6 | 361 | 2,736 | 15 | 0.55% | $684 | $787.5 | $103.5 | 15.1% | $-330.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 361 | 1,710 | 5 | 0.29% | $427.5 | $300 | $-127.5 | -29.8% | $-192.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.6 | 361 | 2,736 | 17 | 0.62% | $684 | $825 | $141 | 20.6% | $-84.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 1 | 0.29% | $85.5 | $37.5 | $-48 | -56.1% | $-77.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 361 | 342 | 0 | 0.00% | $85.5 | $0 | $-85.5 | -100.0% | $-85.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.3 | 361 | 1,200 | 9 | 0.75% | $300 | $337.5 | $37.5 | 12.5% | $-42.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.5 | 361 | 3,420 | 27 | 0.79% | $855 | $1,012.5 | $157.5 | 18.4% | $-42.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.1 | 361 | 6,156 | 18 | 0.29% | $1,539 | $1,350 | $-189 | -12.3% | $-304.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.5 | 361 | 3,420 | 3 | 0.09% | $855 | $675 | $-180 | -21.1% | $-252.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.5 | 361 | 3,420 | 15 | 0.44% | $855 | $600 | $-255 | -29.8% | $-380 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.1 | 361 | 6,156 | 29 | 0.47% | $1,539 | $1,387.5 | $-151.5 | -9.8% | $-417 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.5 | 361 | 3,420 | 12 | 0.35% | $855 | $862.5 | $7.5 | 0.9% | $-112.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.5 | 361 | 3,420 | 14 | 0.41% | $855 | $750 | $-105 | -12.3% | $-217.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 361 | 1,710 | 9 | 0.53% | $427.5 | $337.5 | $-90 | -21.1% | $-163.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 113.7 | 361 | 41,040 | 126 | 0.31% | $10,260 | $4,725 | $-5,535 | -53.9% | $-5,640 |
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$261.25 · Hot Families (top 10) +$157.50 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$141.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | +$124 | +$145 | +$439 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$59 | +$48 | -$22 | +$141 | +$51 | +$221 | +$230 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | +$58 | +$110 | +$65 | +$161 | +$107 | +$137 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$102 | +$32 | +$136 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | +$58 | +$72 | +$27 | -$27 | -$43 | +$99 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | +$49 | +$32 | +$99 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$20 | -$63 | -$178 | -$105 | -$453 | -$578 | +$53 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | +$65 | +$63 | -$51 | -$128 | -$20 | +$86 | +$45 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | +$59 | -$28 | -$210 | -$197 | -$25 | +$71 | +$42 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | +$27 | +$124 | +$70 | +$24 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$48 | +$11 | -$5 | +$24 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | +$59 | -$28 | -$210 | +$104 | +$126 | +$108 | +$5 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | +$59 | -$28 | -$210 | +$104 | +$126 | +$108 | +$5 | 5/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | +$13 | +$19 | +$31 | +$92 | +$2 | -$12 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | -$100 | +$85 | +$8 | -$265 | -$653 | -$23 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$18 | -$47 | +$47 | +$48 | +$9 | -$107 | -$35 | 7/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | +$4 | -$2 | -$13 | +$40 | -$22 | -$50 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | +$31 | +$164 | +$158 | +$261 | +$128 | -$44 | -$54 | 9/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$20 | +$13 | -$28 | +$158 | -$115 | -$128 | -$60 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$64 | -$43 | -$86 | 0/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$10 | -$88 | -$126 | -$90 | -$133 | -$139 | -$105 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$64 | -$80 | -$126 | 0/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$36 | -$128 | -$275 | -$152 | -$552 | -$770 | -$243 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$18 | -$40 | -$86 | -$177 | -$268 | -$314 | 0/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$7 | +$14 | +$46 | +$38 | -$94 | -$227 | -$314 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$6 | -$53 | -$121 | -$182 | -$230 | -$278 | -$341 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$20 | -$25 | -$178 | -$255 | -$378 | -$615 | -$735 | 3/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$16 | -$103 | -$285 | -$234 | -$137 | -$567 | -$746 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$36 | -$90 | -$200 | -$189 | -$477 | -$920 | -$768 | 6/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$20 | -$175 | -$178 | -$180 | -$865 | -$1,553 | -$1,785 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | +$23 | -$75 | -$443 | -$5,535 | -$16,455 | -$27,405 | -$2,895 | 3/12 |