Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 726 archive drawings (2025-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 726 drawings accumulates 684 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 726 684 7 1.02% $171 $262.5 $91.5 53.5% $-53
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.4 726 3,230 21 0.65% $807.5 $825 $17.5 2.2% $-210
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.7 726 541 1 0.18% $135.25 $37.5 $-97.75 -72.3% $-97.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 726 916 5 0.55% $229 $187.5 $-41.5 -18.1% $-104.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.7 726 1,215 6 0.49% $303.75 $225 $-78.75 -25.9% $-148.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.7 726 6,300 39 0.62% $1,575 $1,462.5 $-112.5 -7.1% $-195
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 726 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.6 726 438 0 0.00% $109.5 $0 $-109.5 -100.0% $-109.5
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 726 684 4 0.58% $171 $150 $-21 -12.3% $-110
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 726 684 6 0.88% $171 $300 $129 75.4% $-44.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 726 2,052 6 0.29% $513 $337.5 $-175.5 -34.2% $-204
Cici's Rules Engine 7.5 726 5,472 24 0.44% $1,368 $1,312.5 $-55.5 -4.1% $-281.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.5 726 5,472 31 0.57% $1,368 $1,537.5 $169.5 12.4% $-150.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.5 726 5,472 20 0.37% $1,368 $862.5 $-505.5 -37.0% $-505.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.5 726 5,472 31 0.57% $1,368 $1,537.5 $169.5 12.4% $-150.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 726 3,420 12 0.35% $855 $637.5 $-217.5 -25.4% $-342.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 726 675 2 0.30% $168.75 $75 $-93.75 -55.6% $-93.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.5 726 5,472 30 0.55% $1,368 $1,462.5 $94.5 6.9% $-244
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 726 684 4 0.58% $171 $187.5 $16.5 9.7% $-83.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 726 684 1 0.15% $171 $37.5 $-133.5 -78.1% $-155.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 726 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 726 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 726 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 726 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 726 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 726 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.5 726 3,275 20 0.61% $818.75 $825 $6.25 0.8% $-102.25
Hot Families (top 10) 9.4 726 6,840 44 0.64% $1,710 $1,650 $-60 -3.5% $-427.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.0 726 12,312 38 0.31% $3,078 $2,850 $-228 -7.4% $-384
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.4 726 6,840 7 0.10% $1,710 $1,575 $-135 -7.9% $-305
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.4 726 6,840 38 0.56% $1,710 $1,537.5 $-172.5 -10.1% $-310
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.0 726 12,312 52 0.42% $3,078 $2,550 $-528 -17.2% $-1,024.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.4 726 6,840 25 0.37% $1,710 $1,612.5 $-97.5 -5.7% $-305
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.4 726 6,840 23 0.34% $1,710 $1,275 $-435 -25.4% $-542.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 726 3,420 22 0.64% $855 $825 $-30 -3.5% $-177.5
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 113.1 726 82,080 506 0.62% $20,520 $18,975 $-1,545 -7.5% $-1,560
Window summary. 8 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+75.4% ROI, net +$129.00)
Top Net Dollars: Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$169.50 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$169.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$129.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$26 -$55 -$110 +$224 +$374 +$578 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$115 +$145 +$129 +$210 +$215 +$348 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$78 +$145 +$92 +$135 +$177 +$311 6/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$4 -$35 -$81 -$21 +$22 +$65 +$123 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine +$43 +$95 -$7 -$56 +$251 +$216 +$122 6/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$43 +$58 -$82 +$170 +$101 +$329 +$122 5/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$43 +$58 -$82 +$170 +$101 +$329 +$122 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$38 -$138 -$71 -$113 +$86 +$8 +$118 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$21 -$44 -$86 -$66 +$61 +$51 0/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$30 -$28 -$98 +$65 +$44 +$11 1/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 -$81 -$134 -$16 -$48 +$11 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$43 +$133 +$31 +$95 -$87 -$84 -$66 8/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$4 -$34 -$42 -$94 -$162 -$6 -$96 2/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$55 +$125 -$28 -$218 -$40 -$90 -$135 3/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$4 +$3 -$6 +$17 -$16 -$48 -$140 3/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$20 -$100 -$140 -$30 -$340 -$278 -$210 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 -$7 -$32 -$42 -$77 -$261 -$282 5/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$19 -$95 +$23 +$6 -$132 -$226 -$322 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$12 -$105 -$129 -$176 -$272 -$369 -$381 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$8 -$20 -$65 -$79 -$141 -$340 -$399 5/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$35 -$50 -$205 -$60 -$418 -$518 -$420 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$55 +$163 +$10 +$18 -$320 -$466 -$444 6/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$40 -$125 -$355 -$435 -$793 -$1,005 -$533 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$35 +$25 -$130 -$173 -$680 -$780 -$945 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$110 +$138 +$133 -$98 -$943 -$1,755 -$1,208 5/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$3 -$180 -$549 -$528 -$1,217 -$1,689 -$1,424 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$32 -$93 -$307 -$506 -$837 -$1,247 -$1,641 1/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$72 -$105 -$249 -$228 -$1,029 -$1,314 -$1,686 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$40 -$125 -$130 -$135 -$1,055 -$1,755 -$1,770 6/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$105 -$563 -$1,035 -$1,545 -$3,285 -$4,860 -$5,640 3/12