Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,462 archive drawings (2024-09-08 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 1,462 drawings accumulates 1,416 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 1,462 1,416 7 0.49% $354 $300 $-54 -15.3% $-176
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.4 1,462 6,393 33 0.52% $1,598.25 $1,312.5 $-285.75 -17.9% $-404.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.8 1,462 1,142 9 0.79% $285.5 $375 $89.5 31.4% $-52
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 1,462 1,971 15 0.76% $492.75 $562.5 $69.75 14.2% $-154.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 1,462 2,647 21 0.79% $661.75 $787.5 $125.75 19.0% $-173.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.8 1,462 12,867 75 0.58% $3,216.75 $3,000 $-216.75 -6.7% $-451.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 1,462 775 3 0.39% $193.75 $150 $-43.75 -22.6% $-62
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.7 1,462 963 3 0.31% $240.75 $150 $-90.75 -37.7% $-123.75
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 1,462 1,416 5 0.35% $354 $262.5 $-91.5 -25.9% $-115.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 1,462 1,416 8 0.56% $354 $412.5 $58.5 16.5% $-206.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.9 1,462 4,248 27 0.64% $1,062 $1,425 $363 34.2% $-159
Cici's Rules Engine 7.7 1,462 11,328 49 0.43% $2,832 $2,625 $-207 -7.3% $-316.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.7 1,462 11,328 47 0.41% $2,832 $2,175 $-657 -23.2% $-679
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.7 1,462 11,328 40 0.35% $2,832 $1,987.5 $-844.5 -29.8% $-938
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.7 1,462 11,328 47 0.41% $2,832 $2,175 $-657 -23.2% $-679
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.8 1,462 7,080 31 0.44% $1,770 $1,650 $-120 -6.8% $-392.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 1,462 1,403 5 0.36% $350.75 $300 $-50.75 -14.5% $-214.75
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.7 1,462 11,328 48 0.42% $2,832 $2,325 $-507 -17.9% $-831
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 1,462 1,416 8 0.56% $354 $412.5 $58.5 16.5% $-141
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 1,462 1,416 8 0.56% $354 $412.5 $58.5 16.5% $-100
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 1,462 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 1,462 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 1,462 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 1,462 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 1,462 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 1,462 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.3 1,462 6,222 33 0.53% $1,555.5 $1,237.5 $-318 -20.4% $-421.5
Hot Families (top 10) 9.7 1,462 14,160 93 0.66% $3,540 $3,487.5 $-52.5 -1.5% $-390
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.4 1,462 25,488 85 0.33% $6,372 $6,375 $3 0.1% $-408
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.7 1,462 14,160 13 0.09% $3,540 $2,925 $-615 -17.4% $-1,155
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.7 1,462 14,160 98 0.69% $3,540 $3,787.5 $247.5 7.0% $-250
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.4 1,462 25,488 122 0.48% $6,372 $6,862.5 $490.5 7.7% $-174
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.7 1,462 14,160 54 0.38% $3,540 $3,225 $-315 -8.9% $-507.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.7 1,462 14,160 58 0.41% $3,540 $3,337.5 $-202.5 -5.7% $-562.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.8 1,462 7,080 52 0.73% $1,770 $1,950 $180 10.2% $-272.5
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 116.2 1,462 169,920 1,013 0.60% $42,480 $37,987.5 $-4,492.5 -10.6% $-4,492.5
Window summary. 11 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) (+34.2% ROI, net +$363.00)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$490.50 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$363.00 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$247.50

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$41 -$30 +$89 +$63 +$491 +$122 +$575 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$12 -$105 -$92 -$65 +$363 +$302 +$215 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 -$35 +$182 +$204 +$59 +$176 +$122 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$6 +$50 +$51 -$88 +$126 +$211 +$115 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$20 +$88 -$28 -$90 -$286 +$55 +$97 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$3 +$213 +$58 +$123 +$248 +$255 +$90 4/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 +$32 +$91 +$59 +$63 +$84 5/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 -$81 -$22 +$59 +$26 +$9 2/12
Calendar Year Top-5 +$18 +$125 +$235 +$155 +$180 +$165 +$8 6/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 +$27 +$41 -$53 +$70 +$49 -$11 3/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$73 -$13 +$95 +$48 -$53 +$68 -$23 4/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$4 +$8 +$9 +$10 +$90 -$43 -$79 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$4 +$3 -$43 -$22 -$92 -$162 -$141 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$40 +$32 -$22 -$54 -$125 -$179 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$21 -$43 +$18 -$44 -$134 -$184 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$23 -$53 +$33 -$91 -$202 -$190 2/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$19 -$98 -$128 -$331 -$318 -$174 -$239 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$4 -$35 -$80 -$133 -$51 -$157 -$247 1/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$3 -$200 -$318 -$365 -$203 -$795 -$510 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$40 -$125 -$18 -$215 -$315 -$1,058 -$585 4/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$55 +$50 +$48 +$5 -$120 -$585 -$593 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$38 +$57 +$55 -$210 -$217 -$437 -$731 5/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$156 +$58 -$119 -$172 -$507 -$771 -$828 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$40 -$125 -$130 -$815 -$615 -$1,320 -$885 4/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$32 -$55 -$119 -$360 -$657 -$996 -$1,016 3/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$32 -$55 -$119 -$360 -$657 -$996 -$1,016 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$32 -$93 -$7 -$60 -$207 -$996 -$1,166 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$72 +$45 -$99 -$87 +$3 -$1,116 -$1,338 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$32 -$168 -$269 -$397 -$845 -$1,146 -$1,391 4/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$105 -$563 -$998 -$2,168 -$4,493 -$5,715 -$6,533 1/12