Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 2,508 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 2,508 drawings accumulates 2,508 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 2,508 2,508 24 0.96% $627 $937.5 $310.5 49.5% $-107
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 3.5 2,508 8,824 45 0.51% $2,206 $1,762.5 $-443.5 -20.1% $-636.5
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 1,908 1,908 13 0.68% $477 $487.5 $10.5 2.2% $-109.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 2,418 3,378 15 0.44% $844.5 $562.5 $-282 -33.4% $-300.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.9 2,418 4,594 20 0.44% $1,148.5 $750 $-398.5 -34.7% $-398.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 9.1 2,508 22,779 150 0.66% $5,694.75 $5,812.5 $117.75 2.1% $-239.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 1,295 1,295 6 0.46% $323.75 $375 $51.25 15.8% $-97.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 1,587 1,587 14 0.88% $396.75 $975 $578.25 145.8% $-118.75
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 2,508 2,508 18 0.72% $627 $750 $123 19.6% $-110
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 2,508 2,508 20 0.80% $627 $975 $348 55.5% $-92
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 3.0 2,508 7,524 30 0.40% $1,881 $1,500 $-381 -20.3% $-435
Cici's Rules Engine 8.0 2,508 20,064 97 0.48% $5,016 $5,137.5 $121.5 2.4% $-281.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 8.0 2,508 20,064 104 0.52% $5,016 $5,137.5 $121.5 2.4% $-301
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 8.0 2,508 20,064 75 0.37% $5,016 $3,375 $-1,641 -32.7% $-1,641
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 8.0 2,508 20,064 104 0.52% $5,016 $5,137.5 $121.5 2.4% $-301
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 5.0 2,508 12,540 56 0.45% $3,135 $3,000 $-135 -4.3% $-410
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 2,484 2,484 11 0.44% $621 $525 $-96 -15.5% $-184.25
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 8.0 2,508 20,064 100 0.50% $5,016 $4,950 $-66 -1.3% $-511.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 2,508 2,508 9 0.36% $627 $487.5 $-139.5 -22.3% $-185
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 2,508 2,508 13 0.52% $627 $637.5 $10.5 1.7% $-210
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0 0 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0 0 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0 0 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0 0 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0 0 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0 0 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 3.5 2,508 8,786 47 0.53% $2,196.5 $1,875 $-321.5 -14.6% $-459.75
Hot Families (top 10) 10.0 2,508 25,080 149 0.59% $6,270 $5,850 $-420 -6.7% $-772.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 18.0 2,508 45,144 128 0.28% $11,286 $9,600 $-1,686 -14.9% $-1,716
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 10.0 2,508 25,080 20 0.08% $6,270 $4,500 $-1,770 -28.2% $-1,945
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 10.0 2,418 24,180 130 0.54% $6,045 $5,100 $-945 -15.6% $-1,120
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 18.0 2,508 45,144 189 0.42% $11,286 $9,862.5 $-1,423.5 -12.6% $-1,848
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 10.0 2,508 25,080 79 0.31% $6,270 $5,062.5 $-1,207.5 -19.3% $-1,962.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 10.0 2,508 25,080 101 0.40% $6,270 $5,737.5 $-532.5 -8.5% $-1,075
Calendar Year Top-5 5.0 2,508 12,540 78 0.62% $3,135 $2,925 $-210 -6.7% $-500
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 120.0 2,508 300,960 1,856 0.62% $75,240 $69,600 $-5,640 -7.5% $-5,640
Window summary. 11 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold (+145.8% ROI, net +$578.25)
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold +$578.25 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$348.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$310.50

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 -$26 -$55 -$110 +$224 +$374 +$578 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$115 +$145 +$129 +$210 +$215 +$348 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$78 +$145 +$92 +$135 +$177 +$311 6/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$4 -$35 -$81 -$21 +$22 +$65 +$123 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine +$43 +$95 -$7 -$56 +$251 +$216 +$122 6/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) +$43 +$58 -$82 +$170 +$101 +$329 +$122 5/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$43 +$58 -$82 +$170 +$101 +$329 +$122 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$38 -$138 -$71 -$113 +$86 +$8 +$118 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$3 -$21 -$44 -$86 -$66 +$61 +$51 0/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$30 -$28 -$98 +$65 +$44 +$11 1/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 -$81 -$134 -$16 -$48 +$11 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$43 +$133 +$31 +$95 -$87 -$84 -$66 8/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$4 -$34 -$42 -$94 -$162 -$6 -$96 2/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$55 +$125 -$28 -$218 -$40 -$90 -$135 3/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$4 +$3 -$6 +$17 -$16 -$48 -$140 3/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$20 -$100 -$140 -$30 -$340 -$278 -$210 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 -$7 -$32 -$42 -$77 -$261 -$282 5/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$19 -$95 +$23 +$6 -$132 -$226 -$322 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$12 -$105 -$129 -$176 -$272 -$369 -$381 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$8 -$20 -$65 -$79 -$141 -$340 -$399 5/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$35 -$50 -$205 -$60 -$418 -$518 -$420 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$55 +$163 +$10 +$18 -$320 -$466 -$444 6/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$40 -$125 -$355 -$435 -$793 -$1,005 -$533 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$35 +$25 -$130 -$173 -$680 -$780 -$945 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$110 +$138 +$133 -$98 -$943 -$1,755 -$1,208 5/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$3 -$180 -$549 -$528 -$1,217 -$1,689 -$1,424 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$32 -$93 -$307 -$506 -$837 -$1,247 -$1,641 1/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$72 -$105 -$249 -$228 -$1,029 -$1,314 -$1,686 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$40 -$125 -$130 -$135 -$1,055 -$1,755 -$1,770 6/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$105 -$563 -$1,035 -$1,545 -$3,285 -$4,860 -$5,640 3/12